This will be an interesting quarterfinal and I think we will see some goals here. The odds are rising for over 2,5 goals and ‘both teams to score’ because almost all matches in the knockout-stages ended with under 2,5 goals and in extra time or penalty shootout as reason. But the reasons are simple for this because there were good defending teams in each of these matches but here we have two offensive focused teams who aren’t that good in defending. Yes, Colombia only conceded 2 goals BUT it was against Japan and Ivory Coast. I don’t want to say these teams are weak, but Colombia should have kept a clean sheet against these teams. H2H statistics are really equal between these teams. 4 draws in the last 4 meetings. The last in 2012, 1-1. Others 0-0 but this is over 6 years old so this isn’t relevant.
Croatia 3-1, Cameroon 4-1, Mexico 0-0 and Chile 1-1. Nearly all matches at Brazil ended with at least 3 goals. The 0-0 against Mexico was special as the goalkeeper ‘Ochoa’ was in outstanding form. One reason could be the defense of ‘Selecao’. Thiago Silva and David Luiz are world-class defenders but they didn’t showed their quality and weren’t as strong as we expected from them. They conceded in all match expect Mexico, but this match was different as already mentioned. Furthermore the midfield isn’t one of the best. The goalkeeper Julio Cesar didn’t show his skills too. He saved 2 penalties against Chile in the shoot-out, but couldn’t impress very well in the previous match and the world cup. On the other side the attack is the best of Brazil. Young talented players like Neymar want to show their talent. Neymar shot 4 goals till now and is a hot candidate for the golden boot. For sure he wants to score again and keep up his chances for this prize. Scolari said that he wants to change his tactics and start with some other players. Luiz Gustavo won’t play as he is suspended due cards. Fernandino would be a good replacement for him.
Possible line-up Brazil: Julio Cesar – Dani Alves, David Luiz, Thiago Silva, Marcelo – Paulinho, Fernandinho – Hulk, Oscar, Neymar – Fred
Previous matches showed that Colombia is in fabulous form. Group stage finished with 9 points and winning over Uruguay 2-0, so all matches won in WC yet. This team who is well-attuned to each other can play very well. Of course they play in offensive-style with nice players like James Rodriguez, Cuadrado, Ibarbo and Martinez. Their matches ended 3-0 Honduras, 2-1 Ivory Coast, 4-1 Japan and 2-0 Uruguay. Colombia was only with 3 fix starters in the match against Japan nevertheless they won 4-1, Martinez impressed very well in this match with 2 goals. So we see all matches ended with over 2,5 goals expect the 2-0 vs Uruguay. Brazil will have more fans in the stadium this is clear, but Colombia also had plenty of fans in the matches before, so it won’t be an extreme home advantage for their opponents. Colombia is the dark horse and many people see them in the final but I think this will be a game with good chances on both sides. I can’t predict the end score. The odds of 4 and more for Colombia to win are exaggerated in my opinion as Colombia isn’t the huge underdog in this match. The offensive power of team is very good. James Rodriguez showed his talent and shot one of the most beautiful goals in this world cup. He can score from anywhere. Martinez and Ibarbo shouldn’t be underestimated too. The South Americans didn’t play against title-candidates in my eyes so they couldn’t convince all people that they are one of these. Of course Uruguay is world-class but without Suarez it was clear for me that they get knocked out. Rodriguez will play with extra motivation as he is aiming the golden boot prize. He scored in every match a goal yet. If Brazil will run into a counter attack it will very dangerous for sure. Colombia has good fast players like Cuadrado.
Possible line-up Colombia: Ospina – Zuniga, Zapata, Yepes, Armero – Sanchez, Aguilar – Cuadrado, Rodriguez, Ibarbo – Martinez
Both teams are very strong in attack and they should at least score one goal! Colombia didn’t played against very good teams like Germany or Netherlands, Uruguay cant compared to them so it may be the last match for them. But maybe they win against Brazil who didn’t impressed very well either as they were very lucky against Chile. Surely we can say that this match will be very though. Moreover the match will be at the late afternoon in Brazil (22:00 GMT +2) so they wont be too high temperatures. So both teams wont have problems with the atmosphere.
Both teams to score @ BetVictor – odds: 1.95 – stake 5/10